The baseball season has once again started and as I watch the Cardinals and Reds playing game one of 162, I thought why not join several others in making predictions that will most assuredly be wrong by the time the World Series is won in October.
The most important thing to think of while reading is this. Baseball is a marathon not a sprint, I’m 99% sure by the All-Star break most of these will be wrong or way off, but that is part of the fun of the game.
East – Washington
Last year the Braves were in position to regain their dominance of the division however a winter and spring that saw four of their starters sidelined injuries has left them a shadow of themselves. The Mets and Marlins are not going to challenge and the Phillies will need to rebuild for a while to get back into contention. This year the Nationals will be representing the division in the playoffs. The only question is will they shut down their ace again or actually have him pitch in the playoffs.
Central – St. Louis
Yes I’m biased, but seriously the Cardinals added shortstop Jhonny Peralta, have Matt Carpenter playing his natural position at third, Kolten Wong gives them speed and skill at second. The only downside to the Cardinals is their pitching staff’s age. This is not the veteran heavy staff of years past but it is young and hungry. The Cubs are a year or two away from being a contender, hopefully management there sticks to the plan and doesn’t trade away all their prospects. The Brewers are a mess, the Reds are riddled by injuries already and the Pirates are the only team that may challenge.
West – San Francisco
Clayton Kershaw’s back will be one of the many things that causes the Dodgers to not repeat, but probably the biggest issue will be Puig. He will probably end up in Triple-A or the DL before the All star break. The Giants are just good enough to stick around and pass the Dodgers in August and September to win the Division. Arizona has depth so I wouldn’t count them out either, but look for them to be more of a wild card contender than division leader. Colorado and San Diego will round out the bottom of the division.
Wildcards – Arizona, Pittsburgh
The Dodgers may be in contention here, but expect these two to be fighting it out for that last slot.
East – Boston
They are a good team, one year older but a tough team to beat. The Yankees are a mess, most of their year will focus on Jeter’s last year in the sun. The Orioles are going to be a tough out as well as Tampa Bay. The fact the Rays resigned Price will let them challenge the entire season. The Blue Jays if they were in the central would be fighting for first sadly in this stacked division they will be fighting for fourth.
Central – Kansas City
Yes I said the Royals, Detroit spent too much money on the wrong people. Sorry I like Cabrera but the last two years of being injury prone leads me to believe his best years are behind him. Chicago, Minnesota and Cleveland will be hovering around the 60 win mark for most of the year.
West – Oakland
This division is actually pretty easy. The Angels are old, over spent and under achieving, Texas has potential but I don’t see them overcoming the A’s. Houston is in the same boat the Cubs are in, too young and needing experience, one maybe two years and they will be contending. Then there is Seattle which needed to sign an entire team but spent 200+ million on one player who doesn’t fix one of their many holes.
Wildcard – Texas and Baltimore
Detroit will be hanging around there most of the year but fall short.
National League Champion – St Louis
American League Champion – Oakland
Cardinals win the series (I hope)